By Bantii Qixxeessaa
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Introduction The Ethiopia Peace Observatory (EPO), an initiative of the Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project (ACLED), is a prominent source of data and analysis on Ethiopia’s complex conflict landscape. Its multilingual, event-driven methodology equips researchers, policymakers, and humanitarian organizations with timely and detailed updates. However, its Situation Updates ( especially December 2024 – June 2025) expose significant disparities in how the EPO frames two major non-state armed groups: the Oromo Liberation Army (OLA) and the Fano militia. |
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While the EPO consistently refers to the OLA using the government-preferred label “OLA/OLF–Shane,” it avoids the same practice when describing Fano—despite the Ethiopian government's official and highly charged use of the term “Jawisa” for the group. This inconsistency reflects deeper analytical asymmetries that may skew public and policy understanding of the conflict.
Uneven Political Contextualization
EPO provides layered political context when reporting on
Fano, characterizing it as a fragmented, regionally-rooted militia with
socio-political grievances. Reports emphasize tensions between Fano and the
federal government, the group’s resistance to disarmament, and community
perceptions of marginalization in the Amhara region.
In contrast, the OLA is often stripped of any political or
historical context. For instance, the April 30, 2025 report attributes violence
to “retaliatory OLA/OLF–Shane attacks,” with no mention of the long-standing
claims of political exclusion and state violence in Oromia. This flattening of
OLA's identity reduces the group to a violent actor devoid of political
motivations, contrasting sharply with the more nuanced treatment of Fano.
Imbalance in Attribution of Civilian Harm
EPO reports tend to assign direct responsibility to the OLA
for civilian casualties, using emotive language such as “killed women and
children.” Meanwhile, reports about Fano often soften or obscure its role in
similar incidents, using vague or passive language. The May 14, 2025 report,
for example, mentions Fano’s link to 47 abductions but fails to convey the
moral and human impact in equivalent terms.
Such inconsistency risks implying a moral hierarchy between
the two groups, undermining the neutrality essential to conflict analysis.
Divergent Tactical and Descriptive Terminology
The EPO employs militarized language when describing the
OLA, frequently using terms like “ambushes” and “insurgency.” Fano’s actions,
however, are often framed in terms suggesting defensive or strategic
legitimacy—such as “counter-offensives” and “operations.”
This disparity in terminology shapes external perceptions of
legitimacy and threat, influencing how humanitarian actors, governments, and
the media respond to each group.
Inconsistent Naming Practices: The Case of “Jawisa”
One of the starkest illustrations of analytical bias in EPO
reporting is its inconsistent use of government-preferred labeling. The
organization routinely adopts the term “OLA/OLF–Shane” when referencing the
Oromo Liberation Army—mirroring a federal narrative that seeks to delegitimize
the group by tying it to banned political factions.
Yet the same linguistic precision is conspicuously absent
when referring to the Fano militia. Although the Ethiopian government and its
supporters commonly use the term “Jawisa” to refer to Fano—especially in online
discourse—this designation is never used in EPO reporting.
The term “Jawisa,” meaning “bandit” in Amharic, is deeply
pejorative. It was first coined by Daniel Kibret, the Prime Minister’s social
affairs advisor, and has since been widely adopted by pro-government voices on
social media to describe Fano fighters in the Amhara region. While the term
carries strong delegitimizing intent—similar to the implications of
“OLF–Shane”—EPO appears selective in its application of such state-endorsed
nomenclature.
This discrepancy raises questions about editorial
consistency. If EPO chooses to reflect government naming conventions for one
group, neutrality demands the same treatment for others—or a rejection of such
terminology altogether in favor of neutral alternatives.
Lack of Source Transparency
ACLED and EPO’s reliance on undisclosed sources creates room
for bias—especially in regions like Oromia, where independent media is heavily
restricted. Without clear attribution of source types (e.g.,
government-aligned, local, diaspora), there is a risk that dominant
narratives—often aligned with state perspectives—are disproportionately
reflected, particularly in reporting on the OLA.
Recommendations for Fairer Conflict Reporting
To strengthen analytical integrity and public trust, the
following steps are crucial:
- Contextual
Parity: Offer balanced historical and political context for all armed
actors, including the OLA.
- Equal
Moral Weight: Describe the impact of violence on civilians with
consistent moral and human framing.
- Standardized
Terminology: Use neutral, uniform language for tactical descriptions
across actors.
- Naming
Consistency: Apply naming conventions uniformly—either adopt or reject
all government-endorsed labels equally.
- Source
Transparency: Clearly annotate source type, location, and reliability
to reduce bias and enhance credibility.
Conclusion
The EPO’s role in documenting Ethiopia’s evolving conflict
landscape is indispensable. But its long-term utility depends on maintaining
analytical fairness, naming consistency, and editorial neutrality. The
selective use of government-derived labels—such as “OLF–Shane” but not
“Jawisa”—signals a potentially unintentional but meaningful bias. To ensure
equitable reporting, EPO must address these disparities and apply consistent
standards across all actors. Only then can it serve as a truly credible and authoritative
source of conflict data in Ethiopia.
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